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For many observers — from politicians to ethics watchdogs — this has become a stark symbol of how modern financial and technological systems can turn geopolitical catastrophe into a commodity.
1. What Are Prediction Markets — And Why Did They Matter in the Iran War?
At the heart of the controversy are online prediction markets — platforms where users trade contracts based on future events. In many ways, they function like betting exchanges: users buy and sell positions on whether something will happen, with prices reflecting the collective probability that traders assign to the event.