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Analytics firms identified at least six accounts that made around $1.2 million total by placing specific, highly profitable wagers shortly before the U.S.–Israel strikes began.
This is not the first time such markets have drawn attention. Earlier in 2026, similar patterns emerged around the capture of Venezuela’s ex-President Nicolás Maduro, where a handful of newly created accounts made disproportionate profits by betting on the timing of his ouster.
3. Why This Raised Red Flags
To many political leaders, watchdog organizations, and financial analysts, these outcomes were concerning on multiple levels: